Why Gervonta Davis should not be an underdog
I gotta admit; when the betting lines came out for this fight I jumped all over them. Gervonta Davis came out as much as a -250 (2.5/1) underdog against Jose Pedraza for tonight. I also have to admit that I didn't say anything about it because I wanted to maximize my bets. Go ahead, call me selfish, but in any case here I am to give my thoughts and prediction on the fight.
I hear a lot of talk about Pedraza having a stellar amateur career and going the distance five times but it's nuances in boxing that make all the difference; not paper items.
Pedraza has looked very vulnerable to my eyes. In the Edner Cherry fight it should be alarming that Cherry only started having success when he went backwards, giving ground and countering Pedraza - who is supposed to be "The Sniper". A glance at Davis's fights will show this is actually one of his preferred methods of fighting and how he has drawn many of his opponents into knockout shots. Add to that the fact that Cherry took it to Pedraza and had success blasting him with right hands that were good strong punches no doubt but Pedraza was showing an absolutely abysmal defense. He then looked mentally lost and confused and it was extremely strange to see because he looked like a guy who suddenly forgot to box. It was only after Cherry shockingly went back to "boxing" that Pedraza had more success as Cherrys output tanked.
Another premium network fight for Pedraza was against Stephen Smith, where again I saw things that should really caution us about Pedraza. In the very first round he was getting tagged with right hands and looking a bit hurt, allowing the challenger into the fight immediately and giving him confidence. Sure, he took the fight back over, but Smith was still confusing Pedraza with his footwork and he isn't even known for having great/fast feet. Know who does? Davis.
All in all I think Davis is far too fast, powerful, defensively hard to hit, and offensively unpredictable for Pedraza to have success with him. I am surprised he is the favorite in the fight - with all due respect to the champion.